Four Centuries of Reconstructed Streamflow Data for a Utah River
Allen, E.B., Rittenour, T.M., DeRose, R.J., Bekker, M.F., Kjelgren, R. and Buckley, B.M. 2013. A tree-ring based reconstruction of Logan River streamflow, northern Utah. Water Resources Research 49: 8579-8588.
Allen et al., as they describe it, "created six new tree-ring chronologies in northern Utah, which were used with pre-existing chronologies from Utah and western Wyoming to reconstruct mean annual flow for the Logan River, the largest tributary of the regionally important Bear River," which efforts resulted in what they say is "the first extended record of streamflow in northern Utah," covering the 400-year period of AD 1605-2005.
According to the six scientists, their work reveals "the Logan River has experienced highly variable streamflow over the last four centuries," adding this variability "is only partly apparent when considering only the instrumental record." And in this regard they further note "the instrumental record does not capture the full range of natural variability," as they say has been found to be the case "in studies in surrounding basins and across the western U.S.," citing Graumlich et al. (2003), Woodhouse et al. (2006), Timilsena et al. (2007), Watson et al. (2009) Barnett et al. (2010) and Wise (2001). More specifically, they indicate their reconstructions of Logan River flow suggest "overall flows were more variable at times preceding the instrumental period," and "it is likely that past droughts and wet periods [were] more extreme than the models indicate, thereby implying the possibility that water supplies may have been more volatile in the past."
Rather than causing droughts and floods to become both more frequent and severe than they have been in the past, as climate models are prone to predict for a CO2-warmed world (such as is claimed we now reside in by many of the world's climate alarmists), it would appear that in the case of northern Utah and western Wyoming - and possibly much more of the intermountain U.S. west - just the opposite appears to have been the case when lengthy real-world data sets have been obtained and analyzed.
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